Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Motherwell in this match.