Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25

Jan 30, 2021 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 3
St Johnstone

Burke (5'), Tshibola (32')
Power (76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Melamed (53'), Davidson (69'), McCann (73')
McCart (80')

Alex Dyer admits Kilmarnock "panicked" against St Johnstone

Killie folded in the second half having led 2-0.

Jan 30, 18:17

The Match

Match Report

St Johnstone hit back to take all three points.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	St Johnstone
32.44%	26.98%	40.57%

Both teams to score 50.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.22%

54.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.91%

76.08%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.56%

31.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.18%

67.81%

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.49%

26.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.29%

61.71%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 32.44%

St Johnstone 40.57%

Draw 26.98%

Kilmarnock	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.44%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 11.06% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.57%