Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.