Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 53.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Motherwell in this match.