Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Johnstone in this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
41.83% | 27.59% | 30.58% |
Both teams to score 47.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.39% | 57.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.62% | 78.38% |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.84% | 27.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.44% | 62.56% |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.77% | 34.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.08% | 70.92% |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 12.11% 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.82% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.29% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 5.34% 1-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20 | 18 |
2 | Aberdeen | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 18 |
3 | RangersRangers | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
4 | Motherwell | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
6 | St Mirren | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 8 |
7 | Ross County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
8 | Dundee | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Hibernian | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
10 | St Johnstone | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 4 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 |
12 | Hearts | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |