Europa League | First Qualifying Round
Aug 27, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Fir Park
Motherwell5 - 1Glentoran
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Glentoran |
| 46.79% | 23.47% | 29.74% |
| Both teams to score 60.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.35% | 40.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.97% | 63.03% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.36% | 17.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.75% | 48.25% |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% | 26.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.75% | 61.25% |
| Score Analysis |
Motherwell 46.79%
Glentoran 29.74%
Draw 23.46%
| Motherwell | Draw | Glentoran |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% 1-0 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.95% 3-1 @ 5.39% 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.86% Total : 46.79% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.62% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-1 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.08% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.74% |
Form Guide
