Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 50.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.