Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.