Europa League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 24, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium
Be'er Sheva3 - 0Motherwell
Reaction
Liam Grimshaw: 'We learned a lot from European experience'
Motherwell had men sent off in the win over Coleraine and the 3-0 defeat to Hapoel Beer-Sheva which sent them out of the competition.
Sep 25, 15:48
Stephen Robinson frustrated by Motherwell Europa League exit
The 10-man Scottish Premiership side were beaten 3-0 by Hapoel Beer-Sheva in Israel.
Sep 24, 22:02
The Match
Match Report
Hapoel Beer-Sheva ran out 3-0 victors in Israel.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Motherwell |
| 45.13% | 24.38% | 30.48% |
| Both teams to score 58.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
