Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
