Scottish Championship | Gameweek 20

Mar 13, 2021 at 3pm UK

Palmerston Park

QotS
2 - 3
Alloa

Mebude (11'), East (37')
Gibson (15')
Obileye (45+1'), McCabe (85')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Murray (20'), Connelly (44'), Buchanan (77')
Robertson (32'), Connelly (48'), Murray (85'), Graham (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Basement club Alloa came from 2-1 down to claim only their fourth league win of the season.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Queen of the South	Draw	Alloa Athletic
56.49%	22.54%	20.97%

Both teams to score 54.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.49%

44.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.12%

66.88%

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.44%

15.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.5%

44.5%

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.77%

35.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.02%

71.98%

Score Analysis

Queen of the South 56.48%

Alloa Athletic 20.97%

Draw 22.54%

Queen of the South	Draw	Alloa Athletic
1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.49% 3-1 @ 6.14% 3-0 @ 5.88% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.86% 4-0 @ 2.74% 4-2 @ 1.49% 5-1 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.52% Total : 56.48%	1-1 @ 10.64% 0-0 @ 5.48% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.54%	0-1 @ 5.72% 1-2 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 2.98% 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.95% Total : 20.97%