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Arbroath
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 19
Mar 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Queen of the South

Arbroath
2 - 4
QotS

Hamilton (11'), McKenna (22' pen.)
Linn (19'), Hamilton (32'), Little (80')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Obileye (33', 50'), Shields (38'), Mebude (45+1')
Gibson (83')

The Match

Match Report

Queen of the South were 2-0 down after 22 minutes but came back to win.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
ArbroathDrawQueen of the South
49.56%24.99%25.45%
Both teams to score 52.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.7%50.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75%72.24%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69%20.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.31%52.68%
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.63%34.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92%71.08%
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 49.55%
    Queen of the South 25.45%
    Draw 24.98%
ArbroathDrawQueen of the South
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 8.87%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-0 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 49.55%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.98%
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.46%
1-2 @ 6.35%
0-2 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 25.45%

Head to Head
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
QotS
2-2
Arbroath
Shields (46', 52')
McKee (38'), Pybus (47'), Breen (68')
Stewart (63'), O'Brien (65')
Thomson (40'), O'Brien (83')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Arbroath
1-1
QotS
Linn (48')
Stewart (37'), Swankie (62'), McKenna (72')
Maxwell (32')
McKee (50'), Maxwell (61'), Dobbie (74'), Gibson (90+1')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 24
Arbroath
2-0
QotS
Gold (6'), Hilson (35')

Pybus (55'), Holt (79')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 18
QotS
2-0
Arbroath
Pybus (33'), Little (87' og.)
Pybus (24')

McKenna (68')
rhs 2.0
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