Scottish Championship | Gameweek 17

Feb 20, 2021 at 3pm UK

Gayfield Park

Arbroath
1 - 0
Raith Rovers

Doolan (60')
Williamson (34'), Hilson (83'), Thomson (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tait (57'), Armstrong (71'), (87')

The Match

Match Report

Raith are down to third place.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arbroath in this match.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Raith Rovers
41.19%	26.19%	32.61%

Both teams to score 52.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.46%

51.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.66%

73.34%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29%

24.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.74%

59.26%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.3%

29.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.25%

65.75%

Score Analysis

Arbroath 41.19%

Raith Rovers 32.62%

Draw 26.18%

Arbroath	Draw	Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.62% Total : 41.19%	1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18%	0-1 @ 8.91% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.41% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.62%