Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.