Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg

May 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stark's Park

Raith Rovers
0 - 3
Dundee

(Dundee win 3-1 on aggregate)

Matthews (20'), Gullan (71'), Tumilty (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McGhee (22', 55'), Sow (84')
McGowan (8')

Coverage of the Scottish Premiership Playoffs Semi-Finals clash between Raith Rovers and Dundee.

Reaction

A general shot of a Premier League football ahead of the Premier League clash between Everton and West Ham United at Goodison Park on October 30, 2016

James McPake: 'We still have work to do despite big win'

Goals either side of the break from Jordan McGhee - both from magnificent Charlie Adam assists - put the Dark Blues firmly in the driving seat.

May 12, 23:14

The Match

Match Report

The Dark Blues can dream of a top-flight return after a dominant display.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Dundee
30.64%	25.85%	43.51%

Both teams to score 53.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.22%

50.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.33%

72.67%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.35%

30.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.11%

66.89%

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.78%

23.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.87%

57.13%

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 30.64%

Dundee 43.51%

Draw 25.84%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Dundee
1-0 @ 8.42% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 4.98% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.64%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-2 @ 7.59% 1-3 @ 4.37% 0-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.51%