Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

May 15, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
0 - 1
Raith Rovers

(Dundee win 3-1 on aggregate)

Adam (42'), Sow (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vaughan (21')
Mendy (40'), Tumilty (80'), Spencer (87'), MacDonald (90')

James McPake relieved as Dundee advance to Premiership playoff final

James McPake's side progressed to the play-off finals despite defeat after doing the hard work in the first leg.

May 15, 23:58

The Match

Match Report

Rovers scored the night's only goal in the first half through Lewis Vaughan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Raith Rovers
44.26%	26.1%	29.64%

Both teams to score 51.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.74%

52.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.04%

73.96%

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.5%

23.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.47%

57.54%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.88%

32.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.39%

68.61%

Score Analysis

Dundee 44.26%

Raith Rovers 29.64%

Draw 26.1%

Dundee	Draw	Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.85% Total : 44.26%	1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.1%	0-1 @ 8.57% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.87% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.64%