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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Newport County has a probability of 24.05% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Newport County win is 1-0 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.25%).
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
24.05% ( 0.72) | 23.79% ( -0.37) | 52.16% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 54.66% ( 2.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.51% ( 2.28) | 46.49% ( -2.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.23% ( 2.11) | 68.77% ( -2.1) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.5% ( 1.89) | 33.5% ( -1.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.87% ( 2.02) | 70.13% ( -2.02) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.19% ( 0.73) | 17.81% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.46% ( 1.24) | 48.54% ( -1.23) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.32% Total : 24.05% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.59) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.76) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 5.59% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 5.11% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.23) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 2.2% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.59% Total : 52.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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