Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Forfar Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.