Scottish Championship | Gameweek 18

Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Partick
3 - 2
Ayr

Milne (21'), Graham (45+1'), Lawless (56')
Brownlie (54'), Bannigan (58'), Graham (61'), Lawless (84')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Akinyemi (9'), Chalmers (47')
Albinson (45+1'), McGinty (61'), Akinyemi (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Partick Thistle and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Partick Thistle

All competitions

Last Game: Cove Rangers 1-1 Partick
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Ayr 2-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 20.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.

Result
Partick Thistle	Draw	Ayr United
56.42% ( 0.13)	23.44% ( 0.16)	20.13% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 50.56% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.62% (

-1.04)

49.38% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.57% (

-0.95)

71.42% (

0.94)

Partick Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.69% (

-0.33)

17.3% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.34% (

-0.58)

47.66% (

0.58)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.14% (

-0.9)

38.86% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.41% (

-0.86)

75.59% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Partick Thistle 56.41%

Ayr United 20.13%

Draw 23.44%

Partick Thistle	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 56.41%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.44%	0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.44% Total : 20.13%