Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.