Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round

Dec 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Falkirk Community Stadium

Falkirk
0 - 3
Dundee

FT(HT: 0-2)

Rudden (5' pen., 14'), Robertson (77')
French (43'), Ashcroft (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Falkirk and Dundee.

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions

Scottish Challenge Cup

Last Game: Falkirk 1-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dundee

All competitions

Scottish Challenge Cup

Last Game: Inverness 0-1 Dundee
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
Falkirk	Draw	Dundee
29.44% ( -0.02)	25.52% ( -0)	45.04% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.65% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.04% (

0.01)

49.96% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.06% (

0.01)

71.94% (

-0.01)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92% (

-0.01)

31.08% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.6% (

-0.01)

67.4% (

0.01)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.85% (

0.01)

22.15% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.46% (

0.02)

55.54% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Falkirk 29.44%

Dundee 45.03%

Draw 25.51%

Falkirk	Draw	Dundee
1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.44%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.03%