Scottish League Cup | Second Round

Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
3 - 0
Falkirk

Cameron (55'), Ashcroft (80'), Robinson (90' pen.)
McMullan (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hetherington (74')
Oliver (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish League Cup clash between Dundee and Falkirk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

Last Six:

Last Game: Ayr 3-1 Dundee
Friday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Greenock Morton	5	1	8
5	Dundee	5	0	7
6	Hamilton Academical	5	-1	6

Falkirk

Last Six:

Last Game: Falkirk 3-1 QotS
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Dunfermline Athletic	5	5	11
3	Falkirk	5	3	10
4	Edinburgh City	5	0	9

Dundee will have the confidence that they have enough quality to push themselves into the next round, and they are seen as the favourites due to the league they are in. The visitors will be sure to make this a difficult test though, as they have been performing well recently which should lead to a competitive match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Falkirk
48.58% ( -0.13)	24.26% ( 0.03)	27.16% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 56.16% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.08% (

-0.05)

45.91% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.77% (

-0.05)

68.22% (

0.05)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.02% (

-0.07)

18.98% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.48% (

-0.12)

50.52% (

0.12)

Falkirk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.32% (

0.05)

30.67% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.07% (

0.06)

66.92% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Dundee 48.58%

Falkirk 27.16%

Draw 24.25%

Dundee	Draw	Falkirk
1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 48.58%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.25%	0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 27.16%