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St Mirren logo
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 31
Apr 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
St Mirren logo

Hearts
0 - 2
St Mirren


Snodgrass (7'), Smith (50'), Rowles (86')
Snodgrass (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Main (52'), Gogic (57')
Tanser (67'), Dunne (68'), Gogic (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Hearts
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 3-0 Livingston
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 1-1 St Mirren

Aside from the Old Firm, this is the most anticipated Scottish fixture this weekend, the feeling being that St Mirren can close the gap on their third-placed opponents to one point. However, we feel that Hearts, playing at Tynecastle, will do just enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
43.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.4% (0.0019999999999989 0) 33.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.78% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.22% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)38.78% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.09% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)18.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)49.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74%23.26% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.82%57.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 43.55%
    St Mirren 33.05%
    Draw 23.39%
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
2-1 @ 8.96%
1-0 @ 7.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 43.55%
1-1 @ 10.51%
2-2 @ 6.54%
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 33.05%

How you voted: Hearts vs St Mirren

Hearts
92.3%
Draw
7.7%
St Mirren
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Hearts
1-0
St Mirren
McKay (29')
Smith (24'), Snodgrass (58')

Baccus (23'), Main (45'), Gallagher (54'), Reid (80')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
St Mirren
1-1
Hearts
Strain (4')
Baccus (41'), O'Hara (56')
Fraser (90+5')
Snodgrass (49')
McKay (45+2'), Snodgrass (86')
Mar 12, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Hearts
4-2
St Mirren
Baningime (16'), Haring (29'), McEneff (67'), Simms (85')
Baningime (40')
Brophy (36'), Ronan (62')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
St Mirren
0-2
Hearts

Power (62'), Tait (67')
Ronan (22')
Simms (64'), Devlin (67')
Atkinson (27'), Devlin (62'), Haring (86'), Halkett (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Hearts
2-0
St Mirren
Mackay-Steven (61'), Kingsley (75')
Devlin (68'), Halliday (89')

Shaughnessy (16'), Flynn (62'), Alnwick (90+6')
Shaughnessy (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1211103543134
2Aberdeen12101125121331
3RangersRangers12723179823
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd135531914520
5Motherwell126151616019
6St Mirren145361923-418
7Dundee134362225-315
8Ross County143651222-1015
9St Johnstone144191727-1013
10Kilmarnock133371526-1112
11Hearts142391524-99
12Hibernian131571222-108


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