Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 35

May 13, 2023 at 3pm UK

BBSP Stadium Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Livingston

Vassell (48'), Armstrong (64' pen.)
Wright (11')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kelly (49'), Holt (64'), de Lucas (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Motherwell 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Livingston

All competitions

Last Game: Ross County 2-0 Livingston
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

We said: Kilmarnock 1-0 Livingston

Kilmarnock are fighting for their lives at the bottom of the Premiership and will welcome three home matches in their last four as they attempt to stay in the division. Livingston are a team with little to play for, and we envisage another uninspiring performance from the Livi Lions - even if manager Martindale makes a host of changes to his starting XI. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Livingston
56.14% ( -0.17)	22.29% ( -0.03)	21.57% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 56.44% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.38% (

0.39)

42.62% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.97% (

0.38)

65.02% (

-0.38)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.97% (

0.08)

15.02% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.49% (

0.14)

43.5% (

-0.14)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.41% (

0.41)

33.58% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.77% (

0.44)

70.22% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 56.14%

Livingston 21.57%

Draw 22.29%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Livingston
2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 56.14%	1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.29%	1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 21.57%