Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
1 - 1
Motherwell

Cameron (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bair (45')
Souare (72'), McGinley (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee 1-0 Inverness
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Motherwell

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Motherwell 3-0 East Fife
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

We said: Dundee 1-1 Motherwell

Both clubs are essentially an unknown quantity given disruption in pre-season. Dundee have a new manager at the helm while Motherwell have lost their talisman up front, so both may be pleased with an opening day point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Motherwell
47.89% ( 1.15)	25.4% ( -0.05)	26.71% ( -1.1)

Both teams to score 52.11% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.93% (

-0.49)

51.07% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.07% (

-0.43)

72.93% (

0.44)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

0.31)

21.34% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.7% (

0.47)

54.3% (

-0.47)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.25% (

-1.13)

33.75% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.59% (

-1.24)

70.41% (

1.24)

Score Analysis

Dundee 47.89%

Motherwell 26.71%

Draw 25.4%

Dundee	Draw	Motherwell
1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.89%	1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.33% Total : 26.71%