Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fir Park
Motherwell3 - 2Dundee Utd
The Match
Match Report
Dundee United are relegated from the Scottish Premiership courtesy of a 3-2 defeat to Motherwell, failing to overturn an unlikely route to safety.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Livingston 1-1 Motherwell
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-3 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Wednesday, May 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Dundee United |
50.92% ( -0.82) | 24.57% ( 0.22) | 24.51% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 52.68% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.65% ( -0.34) | 49.34% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% ( -0.31) | 71.39% ( 0.31) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.62% ( -0.46) | 19.38% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.82% ( -0.76) | 51.18% ( 0.76) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.35% ( 0.35) | 34.65% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.62% ( 0.37) | 71.37% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Motherwell 50.91%
Dundee United 24.51%
Draw 24.56%
| Motherwell | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.99% Total : 50.91% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.12% Total : 24.51% |
How you voted: Motherwell vs Dundee Utd
Motherwell
71.4%Draw
0.0%Dundee United
28.6%7
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Form Guide
