Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Johnstone in this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Dundee United |
43.5% ( 1.64) | 26.16% ( -0.54) | 30.34% ( -1.1) |
Both teams to score 52.12% ( 1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.83% ( 1.75) | 52.17% ( -1.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.11% ( 1.49) | 73.88% ( -1.49) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% ( 1.61) | 23.84% ( -1.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.98% ( 2.25) | 58.02% ( -2.25) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.43% ( 0.12) | 31.57% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.03% ( 0.14) | 67.97% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Dundee United |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.54) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.59) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |