Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Dundee United win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | St Johnstone |
20.82% ( 0.03) | 23.78% ( 0) | 55.4% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.56% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.1% ( 0.03) | 49.9% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.1% ( 0.03) | 71.89% ( -0.02) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.56% ( 0.05) | 38.44% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.8% ( 0.04) | 75.2% ( -0.04) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% ( 0) | 17.87% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.35% ( 0) | 48.64% |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 6.57% 2-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.14% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 20.82% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.59% 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.41% 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 55.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |