Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | Hibernian |
32.59% ( 0.28) | 24.53% ( 0.02) | 42.88% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 58.5% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.7% ( 0) | 44.3% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.32% ( 0) | 66.68% ( 0) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.83% ( 0.17) | 26.17% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.75% ( 0.23) | 61.25% ( -0.22) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.24% ( -0.13) | 20.76% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.6% ( -0.21) | 53.4% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | Hibernian |
2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.59% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 42.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |