Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
38.62% ( 0.05) | 26.32% ( -0.01) | 35.06% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.03% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.35% ( 0.05) | 51.66% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.56% ( 0.04) | 73.44% ( -0.04) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.86% ( 0.05) | 26.14% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.79% ( 0.07) | 61.21% ( -0.06) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.79% ( -0) | 28.21% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.1% ( -0) | 63.9% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.62% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |