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Aberdeen logo
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Dundee United
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
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Dundee United
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 37
May 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tannadice Park
Kilmarnock logo

Dundee Utd
0 - 3
Kilmarnock


Mulgrew (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Vassell (14', 44'), Cameron (83')
Lyons (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee United and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee United 2-1 Kilmarnock

On the back of their losing streak, Dundee United are up against it to respond with a potentially season-decisive win. Nevertheless, we are backing the home side to rise to the occasion at Tannadice, setting up a thrilling scenario for the final day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Dundee UnitedDrawKilmarnock
44.29% (0.203 0.2) 26.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 28.85% (-0.209 -0.21)
Both teams to score 49.21% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.45% (-0.112 -0.11)55.55% (0.113 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.28% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)76.72% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.054000000000002 0.05)24.94% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (0.073 0.07)59.57% (-0.073 -0.07)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.56% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)34.44% (0.221 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.85% (-0.234 -0.23)71.15% (0.236 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Dundee United 44.28%
    Kilmarnock 28.85%
    Draw 26.85%
Dundee UnitedDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.92% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.28% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.83% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 44.28%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 28.85%

How you voted: Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock

Dundee United
71.9%
Draw
18.8%
Kilmarnock
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Fifth Round
Dundee Utd
0-1
Kilmarnock

McMann (30'), Ayina (35')
Ayina (78')
Vassell (55')
Stokes (52'), Lyons (56'), Doidge (73')
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 24
Kilmarnock
1-0
Dundee Utd
Armstrong (35')
Armstrong (23')

Middleton (45+1'), Sibbald (90+2'), Graham (90+1')
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 15
Dundee Utd
4-0
Kilmarnock
Freeman (11'), McGrath (23'), Middleton (29'), Levitt (73')

Donnelly (66')
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
2-1
Dundee Utd
Lafferty (8' pen.), Armstrong (73')
Middleton (10')
Smith (7')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
gameweek 1
Kilmarnock
1-1
Dundee Utd
Taylor (90+1')
Power (47'), Taylor (83')
Levitt (43')
Harkes (49')
Harkes (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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