Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee in this match.