Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.