Scottish Championship | Gameweek 36

May 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Queen's Park
3 - 5
Dundee

Fox (10', 45+1'), Shields (12')

FT(HT: 3-3)

Jakubiak (4'), Ashcroft (17'), Robinson (34'), Cameron (54'), McCowan (81')
Ashcroft (63'), Jakubiak (75'), Kerr (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Report

The Match

Match Report

Dundee beat Queen's Park 5-3 in a winner-takes-all, final-day top-of-the-table clash to secure promotion back to the Scottish Premiership.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queen's Park

All competitions

Last Game: Morton 2-1 Queen's Park
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dundee

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee 0-0 Cove Rangers
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 45.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Queen's Park had a probability of 26.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.92%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Queen's Park win it was 1-0 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
Queen's Park	Draw	Dundee
26.92% ( 1.48)	27.26% ( 0.39)	45.82% ( -1.87)

Both teams to score 46.87% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.04% (

-0.5)

57.96% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.34% (

-0.4)

78.65% (

0.4)

Queen's Park Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.71% (

0.99)

37.29% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.92% (

0.97)

74.07% (

-0.97)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.74% (

-1.13)

25.26% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.98% (

-1.57)

60.02% (

1.57)

Score Analysis

Queen's Park 26.93%

Dundee 45.82%

Draw 27.25%

Queen's Park	Draw	Dundee
1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.74% Total : 26.93%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.24% Total : 45.82%