Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen's Park | Draw | Arbroath |
39.42% ( -0.22) | 26.59% ( 0.14) | 33.99% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 52% ( -0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.11% ( -0.57) | 52.88% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.5% ( -0.49) | 74.49% ( 0.48) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.73% ( -0.38) | 26.27% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.61% ( -0.51) | 61.38% ( 0.51) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.53% ( -0.23) | 29.47% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.53% ( -0.28) | 65.47% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Queen's Park | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.41% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |