Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.