Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.