Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
47.99% ( 0.4) | 26.77% ( 0.09) | 25.24% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 46.92% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.76% ( -0.67) | 57.23% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.92% ( -0.54) | 78.08% ( 0.53) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.1% ( -0.1) | 23.9% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.89% ( -0.15) | 58.11% ( 0.14) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.66% ( -0.81) | 38.34% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.9% ( -0.78) | 75.09% ( 0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 13.11% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 47.98% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.57% Total : 25.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |