Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Queen's Park |
48.42% ( 0.1) | 24.43% ( -0.03) | 27.14% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.56% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.29% ( 0.05) | 46.71% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.02% ( 0.05) | 68.97% ( -0.05) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.64% ( 0.06) | 19.36% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.85% ( 0.1) | 51.14% ( -0.1) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.89% ( -0.03) | 31.1% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.57% ( -0.03) | 67.43% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Queen's Park |
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 48.42% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 27.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |