Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.