Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Dec 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Gayfield Park
Arbroath1 - 5Dunfermline
O'Brien (74')
Shanks (85')
Shanks (85')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Arbroath and Dunfermline Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arbroath 1-1 Morton
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-1 QotS
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
25
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (11.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
36.63% ( -0) | 29.18% ( -0) | 34.19% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.51% ( 0) | 62.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.91% | 82.09% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.38% ( -0) | 32.62% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.84% | 69.16% ( 0) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( 0) | 34.24% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.06% ( 0) | 70.94% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Arbroath 36.63%
Dunfermline Athletic 34.19%
Draw 29.18%
| Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.51% 2-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.18% | 0-1 @ 11.97% 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 6.42% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.32% Total : 34.19% |
How you voted: Arbroath vs TBC
Arbroath
75.0%Draw
25.0%TBC
0.0%8
Form Guide
