MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 16:43:58| >> :60:68:68:
Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Nov 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
East End Park

Dunfermline
2 - 1
Celtic Res.

Sutherland (3'), Todorov (25')
Fisher (16'), Hamilton (60')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kenny (36')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Celtic Reserves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dunfermline 2-2 Clyde
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Celtic Res. 3-0 Livingston U21s
Wednesday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Alloa302.00Rodden
2Airdrieonians271.80Jamieson
3Falkirk271.80Alegria
4Edinburgh251.67Handling
5Montrose251.67Wright
6QotS241.60Paton
7Dunfermline221.47Todorov
8Clyde181.20Allan
9Kelty Hearts140.93Agyeman
10Peterhead100.67Gillies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Celtic Reserves had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Celtic Reserves win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.

Result
Dunfermline AthleticDrawCeltic Reserves
44.53% (-0.487 -0.49) 24.23% (-0.296 -0.3) 31.23% (0.78 0.78)
Both teams to score 58.95% (1.431 1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.54% (1.697 1.7)43.46% (-1.702 -1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14% (1.648 1.65)65.85% (-1.654 -1.65)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.31% (0.48 0.48)19.68% (-0.485 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.32% (0.779 0.78)51.68% (-0.783 -0.78)
Celtic Reserves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (1.348 1.35)26.6% (-1.352 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (1.751 1.75)61.83% (-1.755 -1.76)
Score Analysis
    Dunfermline Athletic 44.53%
    Celtic Reserves 31.23%
    Draw 24.23%
Dunfermline AthleticDrawCeltic Reserves
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.515 -0.51)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.309 -0.31)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.153 0.15)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 44.53%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.194 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.401 -0.4)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.13 0.13)
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-2 @ 4.59% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.178 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.182 0.18)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 31.23%

How you voted: Dunfermline vs Celtic Res.

Dunfermline Athletic
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Celtic Reserves
20.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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