Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Reigart Stadium
Albion Rovers2 - 3Celtic Res.
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Albion Rovers and Celtic Reserves.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Albion Rovers 1-2 Dumbarton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Elgin City | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Stirling Albion | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Albion Rovers | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Last Game: Celtic Res. 1-3 Morton
Saturday, September 4 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Saturday, September 4 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic Reserves win with a probability of 59.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic Reserves win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 0-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for an Albion Rovers win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic Reserves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Albion Rovers | Draw | Celtic Reserves |
19.65% ( 0.05) | 20.84% ( 0.03) | 59.5% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.4% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.4% ( -0.07) | 38.6% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.1% ( -0.07) | 60.9% ( 0.07) |
| Albion Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% ( 0.01) | 33.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.27% ( 0.01) | 69.73% ( -0.01) |
| Celtic Reserves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.33% ( -0.04) | 12.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.16% ( -0.09) | 38.84% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Albion Rovers 19.65%
Celtic Reserves 59.5%
Draw 20.84%
| Albion Rovers | Draw | Celtic Reserves |
| 2-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 19.65% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.84% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.96% ( -0)0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.17% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.8% Total : 59.5% |
