Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
60.48% ( -0.19) | 22.21% ( 0.05) | 17.3% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 49.42% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.64% ( 0.04) | 48.36% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.5% ( 0.04) | 70.5% ( -0.04) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.45% ( -0.05) | 15.55% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.51% ( -0.09) | 44.49% ( 0.09) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.52% ( 0.2) | 41.48% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.02% ( 0.17) | 77.98% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Edinburgh City |
1-0 @ 12% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 60.48% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.21% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 17.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |