Scottish Championship | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
Arbroath1 - 0Dunfermline
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Arbroath and Dunfermline Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arbroath 0-0 Inverness (3-5 pen.)
Friday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Friday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 35 | 23 | 66 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-1 Queen's Park
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ayr United | 35 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 | Dunfermline Athletic | 35 | -16 | 35 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 35 | -19 | 30 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 54.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arbroath in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 54.82% | 25.11% | 20.07% |
| Both teams to score 45.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.16% | 55.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.04% | 76.96% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.64% | 20.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.23% | 52.77% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.34% | 42.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21% | 79% |
| Score Analysis |
Arbroath 54.82%
Dunfermline Athletic 20.07%
Draw 25.1%
| Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 13.82% 2-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 9.37% 3-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 4.97% 4-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.4% Total : 54.82% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.66% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.4% 1-2 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 3.15% 1-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.94% Total : 20.07% |
Form Guide
