Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Arbroath |
53.14% ( 0.01) | 24.8% ( -0.01) | 22.06% |
Both teams to score 49.16% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.4% ( 0.02) | 52.6% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.74% ( 0.02) | 74.25% ( -0.02) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.24% ( 0.01) | 19.76% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.19% ( 0.02) | 51.81% ( -0.02) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.27% ( 0.01) | 38.73% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.53% ( 0.01) | 75.47% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Arbroath |
1-0 @ 12.41% 2-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 53.14% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
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