Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.