Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Queen's Park |
43.44% ( 0.09) | 23.18% ( -0) | 33.37% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 63.71% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.39% ( -0.02) | 37.6% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.16% ( -0.02) | 59.84% ( 0.02) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.22% ( 0.02) | 17.77% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.52% ( 0.04) | 48.47% ( -0.04) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.48% ( -0.06) | 22.52% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.91% ( -0.09) | 56.08% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Queen's Park |
2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.91% Total : 43.44% | 1-1 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 33.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |