Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.