Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.