Scottish League Cup | Group Stage

Jul 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
3 - 1
Dumbarton

Robinson (38', 77' pen.), Pineda (44')
Antonio Portales Villarreal (70'), McGhee (76')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Wallace (41')
Lynas (51'), Durnan (54')
Durnan (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Dundee and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-0 Dundee
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Dumbarton

All competitions

Scottish League Cup

Last Game: Dumbarton 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 74.77%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 9.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Dumbarton
74.77% ( 0.02)	15.54% ( 0.01)	9.69% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.34% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.18% (

-0.15)

35.82% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.1% (

-0.16)

57.89% (

0.16)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.89% (

-0.03)

8.11% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.52% (

-0.07)

28.47% (

0.07)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.78% (

-0.17)

45.21% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.89% (

-0.13)

81.1% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Dundee 74.76%

Dumbarton 9.69%

Draw 15.54%

Dundee	Draw	Dumbarton
2-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 74.76%	1-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.92% Total : 15.54%	0-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.76% Total : 9.69%