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Dundee logo
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Dumbarton

Dundee
3 - 1
Dumbarton

Robinson (38', 77' pen.), Pineda (44')
Antonio Portales Villarreal (70'), McGhee (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wallace (41')
Lynas (51'), Durnan (54')
Durnan (76')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Dundee and Dumbarton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-0 Dundee
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 74.77%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 9.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawDumbarton
74.77% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 15.54% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 9.69% (-0.033900000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.34% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.18% (-0.148 -0.15)35.82% (0.145 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.1% (-0.162 -0.16)57.89% (0.16 0.16)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.89% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)8.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.52% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)28.47% (0.073 0.07)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.78% (-0.169 -0.17)45.21% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.89% (-0.133 -0.13)81.1% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 74.76%
    Dumbarton 9.69%
    Draw 15.54%
DundeeDrawDumbarton
2-0 @ 11.56% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 9.69% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.09% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.83% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.015 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 74.76%
1-1 @ 7.31% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.67% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 15.54%
0-1 @ 2.91% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 9.69%

How you voted: Dundee vs Dumbarton

Dundee
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Dumbarton
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
Fifth Round
Dundee
5-0
Dumbarton
McGinn (16'), Hemmings (29'), Stewart (51', 91'), Holt (79')
Harkins (25'), Hemmings (45'), Loy (76')

Nade (39'), Routledge (90')
Feb 6, 2016 3pm
Fifth Round
Dumbarton
0-0
Dundee
Wright (78')
O'Dea (84')
rhs 2.0
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